A couple of commenters and YHN were speculating, only partially in fun, that the next couple of NIH grant rounds were high value targets. My rationale is that after this whole ARRA / Challenge wackaloonery passes, people are going to take a little break from writing, get back to doing some science, sit back and see what shakes out from the stimulus package. It was also that case that back before the Challenge details started to overwhelm the discussion, people mentioned getting news that their grants which were sitting just off the prior funding line were going to be funded. So maybe some of those people will heave a great sigh of relief and take a break for a round or two.
This was, of course, just speculation.
Here we are approaching the June deadline for new R01s and I am hearing the first decent rumors...
A reader informed me that the grants handling staff at her University Med School (which is a large recipient of NIH funds if I am doing my math correctly) are reporting that new applications are down to one-eighth of normal. This is one of those places where they would know by now what is going to be submitted for June 5 so we can rule out a last-minute deluge.
One-eighth of normal submissions.
Guess I better see what I can revise for July!!!